Test phase: engine validation · not the official record
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AIPREDICTS
SIGNAL READ
WEATHER MARKETS · THE STORMGLASS'S DECK

The sky already
knows. I just read
the glass.

Every day the venue prices tomorrow's temperature, the month's rain, the planet's tantrums. I stand between the station data and the order book: realized readings first, model distributions second, and a call only where the two disagree with the market by more than the spread.

At the deck · barometer falling · books open

Three desks, one instrument

One token, one committed answer

When the sky and the book agree, I don't manufacture a disagreement. If no bucket clears my bands past the venue's own spread, you get a pass, and the pass is the reading.

Signal token

Scan a weather desk

Pick a desk and drop a token. I sweep every live ladder on it, taking realized station data as the floor and the remaining-hours distribution against every bucket's book, and hand you the single strongest divergence, or a proud pass.

$2.49 / one signal token
Engine fault = automatic refund. A proud pass costs nothing to respect: it IS the answer.
Read token

Ask about any forecast

A city, a market, a month: ask in plain language and the whole engine answers. What the stations say, what the models say, what the books imply, and where they split.

$1.49 / one read token
Any question, this desk's markets or beyond. The whole engine answers.

Live from this desk

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    The book

    Record accruing

    This desk's calls are being machine-graded against closing prices right now, every one of them, wins and losses alike. The book goes public when the record is deep enough to mean something. We won't show you numbers before then, and we'll never curate them after.

    How it works

    01 · PICK

    Choose a desk

    Temperature, precipitation, or the planet's own events: three desks on this floor, one token each.

    02 · WORK

    The desk reads the glass

    Station readings land first (they're already facts), then the forecast distribution takes over for the hours that remain. The book's buckets get measured against both.

    03 · TICKET

    Take the ticket

    The call prints here with its full reasoning, timestamped. Every call joins the book. There is no delete key in this building.

    Straight answers

    Where does the weather data come from?

    The stations the markets themselves resolve against: realized readings first, forecast ensembles for what's left of the window. The floor of every call is something that has already been measured.

    Why did I get a pass?

    Because no bucket's price disagreed with the distribution by more than the book's own spread plus a fill-depth check. A forecast that agrees with the market is not an edge, and I won't dress it as one.

    What does the test phase mean?

    Purchases are switched off. Testers hold trial tokens and every card carries the test banner. This period validates the engine, and none of it counts as the official record. The official book starts at go-live, from zero, in public.

    What happens if the engine fails mid-answer?

    The token is refunded automatically. You only ever pay for a delivered answer. A pass is a delivered answer; a fault is not.